@techreport{Mancosu2012,

title = {The enviroGRIDS scenarios},

author = {E. Mancosu},

url = {http://envirogrids.net/indexe649.html?option=com_jdownloads&Itemid=13&view=view.download&catid=12&cid=137 / http://envirogrids.net/envirogrids_d3.8_scenariosbd3b.pdf?option=com_jdownloads&Itemid=13&view=finish&cid=137&catid=12},

year  = {2012},

date = {2012-04-24},

institution = {EnviroGRIDS},

abstract = {The enviroGRIDS scenarios comprise a number of plausible alternatives (storylines) based on a coherent set of assumptions, key relationships and driving forces, to create a set of quantitative,

internally consistent and spatially explicit scenarios of future demography, climate and land use (LU) covering the entire Black Sea Catchment (BSC).

The aim of this report is to describe the technical specification of the final scenarios, the source data used and the different methodologies applied on each of them. We describe how the different sources were used and integrated in order to obtain the four alternatives storylines (HOT, ALONE, COOP and COOL), for a yearly time series from 2008 to 2050. The method applied to obtain the demographic growth according to the different storyline for the same time series is also described. Furthermore we describe also the results of the spatially explicit scenarios on climate change for the BSC (Task 3.6) of WP3, for a daily precipitation and temperature time series between 2071 and 2100.},

keywords = {Climate Change, EnviroGRIDS, Geotechnology},

pubstate = {published},

tppubtype = {techreport}

}

@techreport{Barbosa2011,

title = {Proposed land use scenario analysis, model input parameters and allocation rules},

author = {A. Barbosa and E. Mancosu and A. Gago-Silva and A. de Bono and A. Lehmann and M. Mierla and J. Hanganu and A. Littkopf},

url = {http://envirogrids.net/indexa4c5.html?option=com_jdownloads&Itemid=13&view=view.download&catid=12&cid=120 / http://envirogrids.net/envirogrids_d3_7a10b.pdf?option=com_jdownloads&Itemid=13&view=finish&cid=120&catid=12},

year  = {2011},

date = {2011-07-06},

institution = {EnviroGRIDS},

abstract = {The enviroGRIDS scenarios comprise a number of plausible alternatives (storylines) based on a coherent set of assumptions, key relationships and driving forces, to create a set of quantitative, internally consistent and spatially explicit scenarios of future demography, climate and land use covering the entire Black Sea Catchment (BSC).

This report presents the analyses of the land use scenarios, a review of the combined method used to quantify the enviroGRIDS land use demand and the disaggregation of the global scenarios at a regional scale. Global land use demand was obtained from IMAGE 2.2 and disaggregated at regional (NUTS2) level. Afterwards a cellular automaton based land use model was applied to allocate the land use demands at local level. Land use allocation rules were assigned based on the scenario storylines and local decision rules. As a result, four alternative land use scenarios were derived: BS HOT, BS ALONE, BS COOP and BS COOL. The designation of allocation rules introduces local decisions based not only on the scenario storylines and expert knowledge but also on historical land use patterns. The method used can fill the gap between the global and regional scales and consequently translate land use patterns at various spatial levels.},

keywords = {Climate Change, EnviroGRIDS, Geotechnology, Land and soil},

pubstate = {published},

tppubtype = {techreport}

}

@techreport{Ivanov2010,

title = {Existing scenarios and data compilation on integrated scenarios using demographic, climatic, land cover from global and Black Sea Basin studies},

author = {E. Ivanov and A. Barbosa},

url = {http://envirogrids.net/index8f0c.html?option=com_jdownloads&Itemid=13&view=view.download&catid=12&cid=100 / http://envirogrids.net/envirogrids_d343644.pdf?option=com_jdownloads&Itemid=13&view=finish&cid=100&catid=12},

year  = {2010},

date = {2010-09-25},

journal = {EnviroGRIDS},

pages = {70},

institution = {EnviroGRIDS},

abstract = {This report presents an overview of different existing scenarios for the territory of the Black Sea Basin. Main sources include the IPCC, GSG and GEO scenarios. They are global scenarios with either country or broaderregion calculations of future changes, like plausible changes for Western Europe, Eastern Europe and the Middle East. Consequently, a number of driving forces were extracted and shortly presented in graphs outlining the trajectories of most plausible changes in the Black Sea Basin. Storyline descriptions per group of country were developed following the IPCC approach and applying the existing predictions of future GDP and population density numbers. The report concludes with an overview of integrated tools for environmental scenario development.},

keywords = {Climate Change, EnviroGRIDS, Geotechnology},

pubstate = {published},

tppubtype = {techreport}

}

@techreport{Barbosa2010,

title = {Land cover model inputs and efficient data model with possibilities to be updated},

author = {A. Barbosa and E. Ivanov and E. Mancosu and J. Hanganu},

editor = {Autonomous University of Barcelona},

url = {http://envirogrids.net/indexae9e.html?option=com_jdownloads&Itemid=13&view=view.download&catid=12&cid=33},

year  = {2010},

date = {2010-03-01},

journal = {enviroGRIDS},

pages = {82},

institution = {EnviroGRIDS},

keywords = {Climate Change, EnviroGRIDS, Geotechnology, Land and soil},

pubstate = {published},

tppubtype = {techreport}

}